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What are the benefits of consolidation?

Consumer goods distribution will dramatically change in the next 2 to 5 years due to technology improvements.

  • Robotics
  • Automation
  • Voice technology and radio frequency

Companies will be forced to rethink supply chain and distribution strategies.

  • Fewer candidates are available for acquisition
  • Companies are looking at paying lower multiples
  • Higher margins need to be gained (cost savings of $0.50/case)
  • The biggest returns will go to the first movers
  • Problems in hiring and maintaining a trained labor force

Recent logistics initiatives (ECR, VMI, and CRP) have taken the low-hanging fruit but not nearly the $30 billion dollars in savings that were promised.

  • Manufacturers have paid their customer, in price or services, to become more efficient
  • One week of inventory has been removed from the system by filling up trucks,eliminating forward buying, and better inventory management
  • We have taken waste out of a supply chain that was designed in the 1950's - it is still the wrong model

What we have today is thousands of individual supply chains. What we need is one supply chain with portals for companies to come in and out of.

  • Each manufacturer has their own individual supply chain
  • Each retailer or wholesaler has their own supply chain
  • The Internet only works because there is one. Supply will only work efficiently when there is one in each region of the country

RBCW (Really Big Consolidation Warehouse) concept

  • Multiple manufacturers store their products in the RBCW
  • Retailers could pull product out of the RBCW when they need it
  • The RBCW is 20 to 30 times the size of the traditional distribution center
  • Faster movers (2,500 of the top 50,000 SKUs) would still ship directly from the plant to the store

The RBCW uses a collaborative supply chain to change the basic economic order quantity

  • Today the basic order quantity is a truckload of product from a single manufacturer
  • The new economic order quantity is a case or pallet
  • Order quantities are aggregated into truckloads
  • Freight is allocated across manufacturers based on a cube-adjusted-weight

 The benefits of consolidation are huge

  • Transportation costs are reduced
  • This reduces the average time from demand creation to fulfillment to one week
  • Storage costs are reduced as we move to JIT delivery
  • Handling costs (forklift work) are reduced as the product is not "put up in the air" for storage but right into the pick slot
  • 40% of the cost of running a warehouse is in the selection process
  • Receiving, put away, and bookkeeping is 60% of the cost
  • Reducing the 60% and moving to JIT inventory reduces costs by $0.40 per case and that gets us the $30 billion in savings that ECR promised
  • Direct-to-Store-Delivery (DSD) eliminates the need for short-term forecasting
    Service levels go up
  • The costs of facilities and overhead go down (shared across participants)
  • Three possible RBCW scenarios

Scenario 1: Retailers consolidate orders from their stores

  • Retailers consolidate orders and send them via EDI to ES3
  • ES3 builds trucks and ships product in 18 hours to Retailers' DCs
  • This would reduce inventory to 7 days

Scenario 2: Stores order directly from ES3

  • Stores order directly from ES3
  • ES3 case picks the items and ship them directly to the stores
  • More inventory is taken out of the system and even more handling is eliminated

Scenario 3: Top items ship directly from the plant

  • 500 top items (35% of store sales) ship directly from the manufacturing plant to the Retailers' DCs
  • The rest of the items are shipped to the RBCW
  • Those items are shipped directly to the store or cross-docked to the DC to marry up with the fast movers

Manufacturer Benefits

  • Visibility into real live orders and actual data direct from the store
  • No longer competing on supply chain execution
  • Competing on brand, quality, and cost of manufacturing
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